Meteorologists are monitoring a disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico that will bring rain to the Florida peninsula later this week.

In Helene’s wake, the National Hurricane Center predicted Tropical Storm Kirk could grow into the next major hurricane by midweek. Here’s what you need to know. Is another hurricane coming to Florida—or the surrounding Southeast and Gulf Coast?

Early computer models took it west for a few days, and it could follow the path of the other storm in front of it — Tropical Storm Kirk — which ended up on a northern track that would keep it far from land. Kirk is also expected to become a major Category 3 hurricane as soon as Thursday.