NFL Week 5 has some intriguing matchups and storylines. Which players and teams will surprise the most once the action is wrapped?

Vikings QB Sam Darnold and Bills WR Stefon Diggs will have revenge on their minds, the Chiefs will be without several offensive starters and a big AFC North clash highlights this week’s schedule.

But almost all the bets in this column will be based on the outputs of models built by me, or occasionally my colleagues at ESPN Analytics. A less efficient market. NFL sides and totals are voluminous markets,